Market: median 1d +0.0% · breadth 32.5% advancing across 191 names
Data as of — announcements 2026-08-27 · prices 2026-08-26
New today: APX, CPO, DEV, KLI, ONE, RNX, SER. New names versus yesterday's letter, so a continuing story doesn't read as fresh news.
Read these (6)
Today's announcements worth minutes, not seconds — triaged by deterministic rules (a raise, a result into live flow, quantified materiality). The LLM annotates; it never picks the bucket.
Appen has returned to near-breakeven (loss narrowed 77% YoY) on 17% revenue growth, driven by AI data annotation demand, signaling operational recovery. No interim dividend; capital preservation intact at $44.7m cash, supporting runway and potential strategic initiatives.
💰Revenue (H1 2026): $120.8m (+17.0% YoY) · Loss after tax (H1 2026): $(4.5)m (improved 76.9% from prior year) · Net tangible assets per share: 28.07¢ (+0.28¢ YoY) · Cash at hand: $44.7m
Materiality: Revenue trajectory (+17% YoY) and dramatic loss recovery (-77% from prior H1) suggest stabilization of business model; loss of $(4.5)m on $120.8m revenue demonstrates path toward profitability; no dividend preserves ~11.5% of current market cap for operations.
Priced in? Stock +42% over 20 days into announcement; strong run-up suggests market had been pricing in recovery narrative; interim result confirms momentum but provides limited fresh upside catalyst.
↗️ UPTREND · RSI 55 · 5d +4.3%confidence: high
high-confidence read, materiality quantified
CPO · $10M — Access Secured for Maiden Vista Montana Drilling
Culpeo has secured access to Vista Montana and will commence maiden diamond drilling in early September targeting a 1km-distant extension of the Lana Corina Cu-Au-Ag-Mo corridor, with historical drilling at Lana Corina returning robust grades (0.96–1.23% CuEq over 100–450m intervals). The four-hole programme is backed by geophysical and geochemical work and will test high-priority porphyry-style targets before a planned IP survey.
💰Vista Montana maiden programme: 4 holes, 2,000m planned · Lana Corina proxy grades: 0.96–1.23% CuEq (454–169m intersections) · Prospect proximity: 1km NE of Lana Corina discovery · Cash on hand: $2.1m
Materiality: Early-stage drilling announcement; no new mineral resource estimate or reserve definition; programme is exploratory and may extend subject to results. Modest cash position ($2.1m) implies limited runway beyond current drilling—material for a $10m market cap but typical for pre-resource junior.
Priced in? Stock flat over 5d and down 8% over 20d into announcement; no obvious run-up. Drilling commencement is incremental news, not a surprise catalyst, suggesting limited market anticipation.
〰️ NEUTRAL · RSI 50 · 5d +0.0%confidence: medium
🏔 near HCH.AX ($355M — 37.22× subject cap) · near COD.AX ($53M — 5.59× subject cap)
🏔 ~100km near GLN.AX ($482M — 2.95× subject cap) · ~10km near S32.AX ($23.0B major in district)
deep-dive context available
KLI · $103M — First Resource Step Out Hole Hits Crystalline Magnetite
KLI's first core hole at Lodestone confirms thick, coarse-grained recrystallized magnetite with visual grades consistent with prior metallurgical work, supporting a high-purity, premium-grade iron ore concentrate strategy for electric arc furnace demand. Assay and DTR results pending; 20,000m program underway to grow and upgrade the 110 Mt inferred resource across the 25 km Lodestone system.
Materiality: Step-out hole validates deposit geometry and supports resource growth narrative; at $103m market cap, successful resource upgrade could materially shift project economics, but confirmation dependent on assays and metallurgical outcomes (currently visual logs only).
Priced in? Stock +39% over 20d and +14% over 5d into announcement; strong retail and institutional inflows (+$5k inst., +$423k retail) suggest market was positioning ahead; core visual confirmation largely anticipated but not fully priced until assay/DTR data arrive.
↗️ UPTREND · RSI 66 · 5d +14.0%confidence: medium
🏔 near MGX.AX ($437M — 4.25× subject cap) · near FEX.AX ($220M — 2.14× subject cap) · near GRR.AX ($156M — 1.52× subject cap)
Oneview is shifting toward higher-margin recurring revenue (+13%) despite total revenue headwinds, with gross margin expanding to 70% and operating losses improving 30% YoY. However, cash runway remains tight at €7.2m against €5.5m half-year burn, with a critical A$7m Tranche 2 placement pending shareholder approval in H2 2026.
💰Recurring Revenue (H1 2026): €4.31m (+13% YoY) · Total Revenue (H1 2026): €5.48m (-14% YoY) · Net Loss (H1 2026): €5.49m (-30% vs H1 2025) · Gross Margin: 70% (vs 61% prior year)
Materiality: €5.49m loss consumes 76% of cash reserves per half; Tranche 2 placement (~€4.2m) essential to avoid funding crisis—together with prior A$12m raise in March, total capital activity ~13% of current €150m market cap.
Priced in? Stock +13% over 20 days pre-announcement but +0% in final 5 days; market may have front-run capital raise news; result details (improving loss, endpoint pressure, Epic/Baxter pipeline) largely in line with guidance trajectory but cash urgency not fully telegraphed.
↗️ UPTREND · RSI 57 · 5d +0.0%confidence: high
high-confidence read, materiality quantified
RNX — Loan Facility - increase and extension to funding facility
RNX secured a $2m loan facility (current draw $660k) backed by True North Copper shares received from the Carpentaria JV sale, allowing the company to fund exploration while escrow restrictions limit cash access from that exit. The 12% interest rate and extended term to end-2027 provide near-term liquidity but at a material cost.
💰Facility size: $2m · Current draw: $660k · Interest rate: 12% p.a. · Term extension: to 31 Dec 2027
Materiality: Facility represents 50% of current $4m market cap; drawn amount ($660k) ~17% of market cap indicates meaningful dependency on debt.
Priced in? No run-up (0% over 20d and 5d); financing typically not a positive catalyst for micro-caps unless it unlocks a material project.
Collapsed on purpose: ownership notices and admin filings. The flow data already captures what these would tell you.
IMU — Becoming a substantial holder from PCG (ownership notice — flow already captures it)
LOT — Ceasing to be a substantial holder (ownership notice — flow already captures it)
Pattern tracker
The pre-registered quiet pattern, tallied out-of-sample since 2026-07-03 — every hit counted in public, wins and losses. Small n, on purpose.
The registered quiet-accumulation pattern, tracked out-of-sample since 2026-07-03. The current rule definition and the full scored record live on the track record— the page never restates the rule, so the two can't drift.
6
new today
40
resolved
57%
win rate
n=40, median 5d +4.7%. Out-of-sample receipt only — not a backtest.