Pre-catalyst radar
flow as of 2026-07-23The registered rule, rendered exactly as measured: Resource specialists and investment banks both net-buying ≥$5k the same session · volume ≥2× average · no price-sensitive announcement that day. RSI under 40 and drilling status appear as markers on hits — they never add or remove names. What you see here is what the track record scores; the two can no longer differ.
New this morning — 2026-07-28
surfaced in this export; flow runs ~3 sessions behind, so these hits are already ~3 sessions old| Ticker | Who's buying | Inferred event | Vol×ADV | Momentum | Inst flow | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNM | Banks$13kRes$5kMM$119 | awaiting assays — 18d | 3.3× | UPTREND · RSI 69 | $18k | 2026-07-23 |
Active — awaiting their 5-session log
Wealth & advisers $149k · Resource specialists $114k · Investment banks $57k
no specific event inferred from filings
1 day since last price-sensitive announcement
no recent filing data
Most Likely Driver: The price-sensitive announcement on 23 July (followed by trading halt) combined with yesterday's Couflens Update suggests institutions are positioned ahead of material news resolution or a potential transformational update on a key asset—likely a drilling result, JV advancement, or resource upgrade. The sharp 47% drawdown from 252-day highs and depressed RSI (36) may have created an asymmetric risk/reward window that triggered accumulation despite the downtrend. Single Biggest Risk: The lack of a confirmed institutional buying spike in the dataset (spike = null) is a red flag. If broker flow remains flat or turns negative over the next 3 days (T-3 lag), the accumulation thesis collapses, and the recent catalysts may have disappointed rather than set up a re-rate—leaving the stock vulnerable to continued weakness in an already damaged 20-day trend.LLM interpretation — advisory
Accumulation patterns — conditioner & leaderboard
106 historical hits · broker flow through 2026-07-23
⚠ Calibration analysis — in-sample, includes live rows, and runs a looser desk test than the registered rule. A lens for exploring, never evidence; the evidence lives on the track record.